Friday, November 26, 2010

Modeling Reference Price Effect

Reference prices are latent internal norms
that consumers use as a basis against which to
compare current prices (Tellis, 1998; Winer,
1986). Reference prices are not observed and
cannot be ascertained by survey because of the
problem of demand bias. Even if they did not
exist, consumers would be tempted to answer in
the affirmative about them just to please the
researcher. The best way to test for reference
prices is by the prediction of behavior with
and without reference prices. For example, a
researcher can ascertain a model’s improvement
in fit with the data, if any, from the inclusion of
terms that capture reference price.
Current research suggests at least two components
of reference price (Rajendran & Tellis,
1994): first, a temporal or internal reference
price based on memory that probably develops
in response to past prices a consumer has paid
and, second, an external or contextual reference
price based on visible prices that probably
relates to the prices of other competing brands
available to the consumer at the time of purchase.
A complete model of response to pricing
should capture these effects of reference price.
Any of the models discussed above can account
for reference price effects by including independent
variables for these effects.

Product Managers and Business Analysts are different

Basically, Product Managers work at companies that create software that
sells in a market. They are outward facing. They know they need to seek out
customers and find out what they need to make their lives better. Product
Managers are concerned with competitor products and change outside the
company.
In contrast, Business Analysts work at companies which develop software for
their own internal use, or on specific developments for other companies
which will be used internally. Thus they are normally found in corporate IT
departments and external service provider (ESP) companies.
Business Analysts look inwards, they look at the operations and needs inside
a company. They know exactly who their users are, indeed, in some cases
there may only be one user. When Business Analysts look outside the
company they are looking at suppliers as alternatives to development not as
competitors in the market.

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

dividend payout

1. There may be investors, such as retired individuals, who prefer current
income to growth in stock value. However, this should not matter since
investors could sell a portion of the low dividend paying stocks to
supplement cash flow.
• In the real world, however, the sale of securities involves transactions
costs that may outweigh the differential in payout.
• Therefore, some individuals are better off holding high dividend paying
securities.
2. After accepting all positive NPV projects, firms should payout dividends
out of extra cash if the corporate tax rate > the individual tax rate.
• DEBATE: Therefore, the debate on which dividend policy increases
the value of the firm is still unresolved from a tax viewpoint.
• Only if there exists an unsatisfied tax clientele may the firm increase its
value in the short run.

The Different Types of Dividends

1. Cash dividends
These are the most common and are usually paid four times a year.
2. Stock dividends
– Stock dividends are not true dividends in that a distribution of
stock does not affect the value of the firm or the wealth of the
shareholder. These dividends are paid out of Treasury stock.
3. Stock split
– Similar to a stock dividend. The NYSE requires share
distributions of less than 25% to be treated as stock dividends.
4. Share repurchases
– The company repurchases the stock. Shareholders pay tax only on
the capital gains portion.
– Same effect as a regular dividend as cash LEAVES the
corporation.

Measures of Inflation

Consumer price indices (CPIs) which measure the price of a selection of goods and services purchased by a "typical consumer."

Cost-of-living indices (COLI) are indices similar to the CPI which are often used to adjust fixed incomes and contractual incomes to maintain the real value of those incomes

Producer price indices (PPIs) which measure the prices received by producers. This differs from the CPI in that price subsidization, profits, and taxes may cause the amount received by the producer to differ from what the consumer paid. There is also typically a delay between an increase in the PPI and any resulting increase in the CPI. Producer price inflation measures the pressure being put on producers by the costs of their raw materials. This could be "passed on" as consumer inflation, or it could be absorbed by profits, or offset by increasing productivity. In India and the United States, an earlier version of the PPI was called the Wholesale Price Index.
Commodity price indices, which measure the price of a selection of commodities. In the present commodity price indices are weighted by the relative importance of the components to the "all in" cost of an employee.

The GDP deflator is a measure of the price of all the goods and services included in Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The US Commerce Department publishes a deflator series for US GDP, defined as its nominal GDP measure divided by its real GDP measure.

Capital goods price index, although so far no attempt at building such an index has been made, several economists have recently pointed out the necessity of measuring capital goods inflation (inflation in the price of stocks, real estate, and other assets) separately.[]citation needed Indeed a given increase in the supply of money can lead to a rise in inflation (consumption goods inflation) and or to a rise in capital goods price inflation. The growth in money supply has remained fairly constant through since the 1970s however consumption goods price inflation has been reduced because most of the inflation has happened in the capital goods prices…

INFLATION

Inflation is a rise in the general level of prices of goods and services over time. "Inflation" is also sometimes used to refer to a rise in the prices of some specific set of goods or services, as in "commodities inflation" or "core inflation". It is measured as the percentage rate of change of a price index.

Culture as a Tool of the General Manager

Strong culture is one of the most powerful tools that a skilled manager can wield. As his or her
organization grows, it soon becomes impossible for the general manager personally to be involved in
every important decision, such as who to hire or promote, when to kill an ageing product line, or
whether to bid or not bid on a particular order. The most the manager can hope for is that all of the
people making decisions in the organization will make them in a way that is consistent with the goals
of the company. The sum of the many autonomous decisions made by various employees must have
the cumulative effect of taking the organization where the manager wants it to go. The only way this
can happen is if the organization has developed clear priorities that employees instinctively employ
as criteria in their dispersed decision-making activities. In other words, strong culture is essential to
consistent decision-making as the organization’s size and scope expand.
Similarly, it becomes impossible for the general manager to participate in or oversee every process
that solves problems and creates value in the organization, such as the new product development
process or the process for following up on new sales leads. Inevitably, as an organization grows,
these things must be done by more and more people, and yet the manager must ensure that the
quality of the output of each of these processes is consistent with the company’s strategic goals.
Again, a strong culture—within which the best ways of getting the job done are instinctively assumed
by all members of the organization—is a powerful tool by which effective managers ensure
consistency.